Significant Drop in Medicaid Enrollment Expected in 2024
Health Care

Significant Drop in Medicaid Enrollment Expected in 2024

Karen Pulfer Focht

As states continue to purge their Medicaid rolls following the end of the Covid-19 pandemic last spring, officials expect the large declines in enrollment – now exceeding more than 10 million overall – to continue.

In a survey released last week, the healthcare foundation KFF found that state directors expect their Medicaid rolls to fall by 8.6% in fiscal year 2024. Spending, however, will continue to rise, though at a slower pace. Total Medicaid spending rose by 9.8% in 2022, as enrollment soared to record levels following the loosening of regulations during the pandemic. In 2023, spending rose 8.3%, but growth will slow to an estimated 3.4% rate in 2024, according to the survey.

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